| Side | Shares | Cost | Value | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| YES | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
| NO | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
The consensus is what settles this market at the target hour; the forecast is what the market maker priced from.
| Time | Trader | Side | Action | Shares | Avg price | Amount | After |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 90.01 | 57.4% | 51.66 | 58.5% |
| 22 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 109.21 | 54.9% | 60.00 | 56.3% |
| 23 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 63.53 | 52.8% | 33.54 | 53.6% |
| 24 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 42.65 | 51.5% | 21.95 | 52.0% |
| 35 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 86.88 | 49.9% | 43.31 | 50.9% |
| 36 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 52.93 | 48.1% | 25.46 | 48.8% |
| 38 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 69.65 | 46.6% | 32.44 | 47.4% |
Settles on a Weather Data Market determination: met → YES pays 1 sUSDT/share, not met → NO pays 1 sUSDT/share, withheld → void, every position refunded at cost. Determinations are final. Consensus rule parameters are proprietary; every run is hashed and anchored on-chain.
Trading closes one hour before the target hour. Prices come from an LMSR market maker (b = liquidity); there is no order book and no counterparty. Settlement rules →