| Side | Shares | Cost | Value | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| YES | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
| NO | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
The consensus is what settles this market at the target hour; the forecast is what the market maker priced from.
| Time | Trader | Side | Action | Shares | Avg price | Amount | After |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 97.94 | 58.4% | 57.23 | 59.6% |
| 17 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 29.94 | 56.9% | 17.03 | 57.2% |
| 17 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 47.06 | 55.9% | 26.32 | 56.5% |
| 18 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 108.93 | 54.0% | 58.82 | 55.3% |
| 20 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 117.23 | 51.2% | 60.00 | 52.6% |
| 21 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 123.68 | 48.2% | 59.58 | 49.7% |
| 32 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 109.27 | 52.0% | 56.83 | 46.6% |
| 35 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 70.23 | 49.8% | 34.95 | 49.4% |
| 35 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 27.54 | 50.8% | 13.98 | 51.1% |
| 37 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 124.96 | 48.0% | 60.00 | 50.4% |
Settles on a Weather Data Market determination: met → YES pays 1 sUSDT/share, not met → NO pays 1 sUSDT/share, withheld → void, every position refunded at cost. Determinations are final. Consensus rule parameters are proprietary; every run is hashed and anchored on-chain.
Trading closes one hour before the target hour. Prices come from an LMSR market maker (b = liquidity); there is no order book and no counterparty. Settlement rules →