| Side | Shares | Cost | Value | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| YES | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
| NO | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
The consensus is what settles this market at the target hour; the forecast is what the market maker priced from.
| Time | Trader | Side | Action | Shares | Avg price | Amount | After |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 84.53 | 71.0% | 60.00 | 71.8% |
| 18 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 86.72 | 69.2% | 60.00 | 70.1% |
| 21 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 89.18 | 67.3% | 60.00 | 68.3% |
| 26 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 91.94 | 65.3% | 60.00 | 66.3% |
| 33 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 95.08 | 63.1% | 60.00 | 64.2% |
| 33 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 98.64 | 60.8% | 60.00 | 62.0% |
| 34 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 102.74 | 58.4% | 60.00 | 59.6% |
| 36 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 107.47 | 55.8% | 60.00 | 57.2% |
Settles on a Weather Data Market determination: met → YES pays 1 sUSDT/share, not met → NO pays 1 sUSDT/share, withheld → void, every position refunded at cost. Determinations are final. Consensus rule parameters are proprietary; every run is hashed and anchored on-chain.
Trading closes one hour before the target hour. Prices come from an LMSR market maker (b = liquidity); there is no order book and no counterparty. Settlement rules →