| Side | Shares | Cost | Value | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| YES | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
| NO | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
The consensus is what settles this market at the target hour; the forecast is what the market maker priced from.
| Time | Trader | Side | Action | Shares | Avg price | Amount | After |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 91.22 | 65.8% | 60.00 | 66.8% |
| 28 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 94.26 | 63.7% | 60.00 | 64.7% |
| 31 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 97.71 | 61.4% | 60.00 | 62.6% |
| 40 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 92.13 | 59.1% | 54.48 | 60.2% |
| 41 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 105.78 | 56.7% | 60.00 | 58.0% |
| 41 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 111.01 | 54.0% | 60.00 | 55.4% |
Settles on a Weather Data Market determination: met → YES pays 1 sUSDT/share, not met → NO pays 1 sUSDT/share, withheld → void, every position refunded at cost. Determinations are final. Consensus rule parameters are proprietary; every run is hashed and anchored on-chain.
Trading closes one hour before the target hour. Prices come from an LMSR market maker (b = liquidity); there is no order book and no counterparty. Settlement rules →