| Side | Shares | Cost | Value | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| YES | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
| NO | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
The consensus is what settles this market at the target hour; the forecast is what the market maker priced from.
| Time | Trader | Side | Action | Shares | Avg price | Amount | After |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 70.26 | 63.5% | 44.61 | 35.7% |
| 23 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 38.73 | 36.9% | 14.28 | 37.3% |
| 26 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 54.19 | 62.9% | 34.11 | 36.4% |
| 32 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 58.63 | 61.6% | 36.13 | 37.7% |
| 35 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 64.09 | 60.2% | 38.56 | 39.1% |
| 36 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 103.20 | 58.1% | 60.00 | 40.6% |
| 38 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 41.06 | 56.4% | 23.15 | 43.1% |
| 40 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 72.73 | 55.0% | 39.98 | 44.1% |
Settles on a Weather Data Market determination: met → YES pays 1 sUSDT/share, not met → NO pays 1 sUSDT/share, withheld → void, every position refunded at cost. Determinations are final. Consensus rule parameters are proprietary; every run is hashed and anchored on-chain.
Trading closes one hour before the target hour. Prices come from an LMSR market maker (b = liquidity); there is no order book and no counterparty. Settlement rules →