| Side | Shares | Cost | Value | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| YES | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
| NO | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
The consensus is what settles this market at the target hour; the forecast is what the market maker priced from.
| Time | Trader | Side | Action | Shares | Avg price | Amount | After |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 39.64 | 61.4% | 24.34 | 61.9% |
| 29 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 55.99 | 60.3% | 33.74 | 60.9% |
| 31 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 100.38 | 58.4% | 58.59 | 59.6% |
| 33 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 75.28 | 56.2% | 42.32 | 57.1% |
| 38 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 32.89 | 44.3% | 14.57 | 55.3% |
| 42 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 109.59 | 54.7% | 60.00 | 56.1% |
Settles on a Weather Data Market determination: met → YES pays 1 sUSDT/share, not met → NO pays 1 sUSDT/share, withheld → void, every position refunded at cost. Determinations are final. Consensus rule parameters are proprietary; every run is hashed and anchored on-chain.
Trading closes one hour before the target hour. Prices come from an LMSR market maker (b = liquidity); there is no order book and no counterparty. Settlement rules →