| Side | Shares | Cost | Value | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| YES | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
| NO | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
The consensus is what settles this market at the target hour; the forecast is what the market maker priced from.
| Time | Trader | Side | Action | Shares | Avg price | Amount | After |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 37.47 | 59.9% | 22.46 | 39.6% |
| 19 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 91.00 | 58.4% | 53.13 | 40.5% |
| 21 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 41.61 | 56.8% | 23.62 | 42.7% |
| 34 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 52.00 | 55.6% | 28.92 | 43.7% |
| 38 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 38.78 | 54.5% | 21.13 | 45.0% |
Settles on a Weather Data Market determination: met → YES pays 1 sUSDT/share, not met → NO pays 1 sUSDT/share, withheld → void, every position refunded at cost. Determinations are final. Consensus rule parameters are proprietary; every run is hashed and anchored on-chain.
Trading closes one hour before the target hour. Prices come from an LMSR market maker (b = liquidity); there is no order book and no counterparty. Settlement rules →