| Side | Shares | Cost | Value | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| YES | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
| NO | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
The consensus is what settles this market at the target hour; the forecast is what the market maker priced from.
| Time | Trader | Side | Action | Shares | Avg price | Amount | After |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 80.78 | 74.3% | 60.00 | 25.0% |
| 17 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 82.55 | 72.7% | 60.00 | 26.5% |
| 17 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 84.51 | 71.0% | 60.00 | 28.1% |
| 22 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 76.63 | 69.3% | 53.11 | 29.9% |
| 24 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 39.88 | 68.1% | 27.14 | 31.5% |
| 26 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 82.31 | 66.7% | 54.91 | 32.4% |
| 26 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 16.32 | 65.6% | 10.71 | 34.2% |
| 32 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 93.22 | 64.4% | 60.00 | 34.6% |
| 34 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 96.53 | 62.2% | 60.00 | 36.7% |
| 35 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 100.30 | 59.8% | 60.00 | 39.0% |
| 38 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 104.65 | 57.3% | 60.00 | 41.4% |
| 40 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 109.70 | 54.7% | 60.00 | 43.9% |
Settles on a Weather Data Market determination: met → YES pays 1 sUSDT/share, not met → NO pays 1 sUSDT/share, withheld → void, every position refunded at cost. Determinations are final. Consensus rule parameters are proprietary; every run is hashed and anchored on-chain.
Trading closes one hour before the target hour. Prices come from an LMSR market maker (b = liquidity); there is no order book and no counterparty. Settlement rules →