| Side | Shares | Cost | Value | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| YES | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
| NO | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
The consensus is what settles this market at the target hour; the forecast is what the market maker priced from.
| Time | Trader | Side | Action | Shares | Avg price | Amount | After |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 82.60 | 72.6% | 60.00 | 73.5% |
| 16 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 77.75 | 71.0% | 55.22 | 71.8% |
| 16 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 86.58 | 69.3% | 60.00 | 70.2% |
| 17 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 89.02 | 67.4% | 60.00 | 68.4% |
| 18 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 79.70 | 65.5% | 52.22 | 66.4% |
| 18 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 94.45 | 63.5% | 60.00 | 64.6% |
| 19 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 97.92 | 61.3% | 60.00 | 62.4% |
| 22 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 101.91 | 58.9% | 60.00 | 60.1% |
| 30 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 106.51 | 56.3% | 60.00 | 57.6% |
| 36 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 111.88 | 53.6% | 60.00 | 55.0% |
Settles on a Weather Data Market determination: met → YES pays 1 sUSDT/share, not met → NO pays 1 sUSDT/share, withheld → void, every position refunded at cost. Determinations are final. Consensus rule parameters are proprietary; every run is hashed and anchored on-chain.
Trading closes one hour before the target hour. Prices come from an LMSR market maker (b = liquidity); there is no order book and no counterparty. Settlement rules →