| Side | Shares | Cost | Value | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| YES | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
| NO | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
The consensus is what settles this market at the target hour; the forecast is what the market maker priced from.
| Time | Trader | Side | Action | Shares | Avg price | Amount | After |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 72.68 | 82.6% | 60.00 | 16.9% |
| 23 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 73.64 | 81.5% | 60.00 | 18.0% |
| 25 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 66.29 | 80.4% | 53.29 | 19.1% |
| 29 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 32.64 | 79.6% | 25.98 | 20.1% |
| 30 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 76.23 | 78.7% | 60.00 | 20.7% |
| 32 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 52.75 | 77.6% | 40.94 | 21.9% |
| 38 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 69.26 | 76.5% | 53.00 | 22.9% |
| 38 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 70.55 | 75.2% | 53.09 | 24.1% |
Settles on a Weather Data Market determination: met → YES pays 1 sUSDT/share, not met → NO pays 1 sUSDT/share, withheld → void, every position refunded at cost. Determinations are final. Consensus rule parameters are proprietary; every run is hashed and anchored on-chain.
Trading closes one hour before the target hour. Prices come from an LMSR market maker (b = liquidity); there is no order book and no counterparty. Settlement rules →