| Side | Shares | Cost | Value | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| YES | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
| NO | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
The consensus is what settles this market at the target hour; the forecast is what the market maker priced from.
| Time | Trader | Side | Action | Shares | Avg price | Amount | After |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 97.98 | 61.2% | 60.00 | 37.6% |
| 24 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 101.98 | 58.8% | 60.00 | 39.9% |
| 29 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 106.59 | 56.3% | 60.00 | 42.4% |
| 32 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 111.97 | 53.6% | 60.00 | 45.0% |
Settles on a Weather Data Market determination: met → YES pays 1 sUSDT/share, not met → NO pays 1 sUSDT/share, withheld → void, every position refunded at cost. Determinations are final. Consensus rule parameters are proprietary; every run is hashed and anchored on-chain.
Trading closes one hour before the target hour. Prices come from an LMSR market maker (b = liquidity); there is no order book and no counterparty. Settlement rules →