| Side | Shares | Cost | Value | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| YES | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
| NO | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
The consensus is what settles this market at the target hour; the forecast is what the market maker priced from.
| Time | Trader | Side | Action | Shares | Avg price | Amount | After |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 103.67 | 52.4% | 54.31 | 53.7% |
| 25 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 66.33 | 50.3% | 33.34 | 51.1% |
| 26 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 24.45 | 50.3% | 12.29 | 49.4% |
| 26 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 95.91 | 48.8% | 46.85 | 50.0% |
| 34 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 117.93 | 50.9% | 60.00 | 47.7% |
Settles on a Weather Data Market determination: met → YES pays 1 sUSDT/share, not met → NO pays 1 sUSDT/share, withheld → void, every position refunded at cost. Determinations are final. Consensus rule parameters are proprietary; every run is hashed and anchored on-chain.
Trading closes one hour before the target hour. Prices come from an LMSR market maker (b = liquidity); there is no order book and no counterparty. Settlement rules →