| Side | Shares | Cost | Value | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| YES | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
| NO | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
The consensus is what settles this market at the target hour; the forecast is what the market maker priced from.
| Time | Trader | Side | Action | Shares | Avg price | Amount | After |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 126.86 | 46.5% | 59.04 | 48.1% |
| 27 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 43.28 | 54.5% | 23.59 | 45.0% |
| 28 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 114.20 | 52.5% | 60.00 | 46.0% |
| 30 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 26.90 | 48.5% | 13.06 | 48.9% |
| 33 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 22.60 | 47.9% | 10.83 | 48.2% |
Settles on a Weather Data Market determination: met → YES pays 1 sUSDT/share, not met → NO pays 1 sUSDT/share, withheld → void, every position refunded at cost. Determinations are final. Consensus rule parameters are proprietary; every run is hashed and anchored on-chain.
Trading closes one hour before the target hour. Prices come from an LMSR market maker (b = liquidity); there is no order book and no counterparty. Settlement rules →