| Side | Shares | Cost | Value | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| YES | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
| NO | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
The consensus is what settles this market at the target hour; the forecast is what the market maker priced from.
| Time | Trader | Side | Action | Shares | Avg price | Amount | After |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 165.85 | 36.2% | 60.00 | 38.1% |
| 24 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 92.78 | 64.7% | 60.00 | 34.3% |
| 28 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 96.03 | 62.5% | 60.00 | 36.4% |
| 29 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 99.73 | 60.2% | 60.00 | 38.6% |
| 29 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 103.99 | 57.7% | 60.00 | 41.0% |
| 36 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 108.94 | 55.1% | 60.00 | 43.6% |
| 38 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 114.73 | 52.3% | 60.00 | 46.3% |
| 38 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 121.59 | 49.3% | 60.00 | 49.1% |
Settles on a Weather Data Market determination: met → YES pays 1 sUSDT/share, not met → NO pays 1 sUSDT/share, withheld → void, every position refunded at cost. Determinations are final. Consensus rule parameters are proprietary; every run is hashed and anchored on-chain.
Trading closes one hour before the target hour. Prices come from an LMSR market maker (b = liquidity); there is no order book and no counterparty. Settlement rules →