| Side | Shares | Cost | Value | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| YES | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
| NO | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
The consensus is what settles this market at the target hour; the forecast is what the market maker priced from.
| Time | Trader | Side | Action | Shares | Avg price | Amount | After |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 11.38 | 58.9% | 6.70 | 41.0% |
| 28 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 68.49 | 57.9% | 39.66 | 41.3% |
| 30 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 80.66 | 56.1% | 45.23 | 42.9% |
| 35 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 17.57 | 54.9% | 9.64 | 44.9% |
| 36 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 65.88 | 53.8% | 35.46 | 45.4% |
Settles on a Weather Data Market determination: met → YES pays 1 sUSDT/share, not met → NO pays 1 sUSDT/share, withheld → void, every position refunded at cost. Determinations are final. Consensus rule parameters are proprietary; every run is hashed and anchored on-chain.
Trading closes one hour before the target hour. Prices come from an LMSR market maker (b = liquidity); there is no order book and no counterparty. Settlement rules →