| Side | Shares | Cost | Value | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| YES | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
| NO | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
The consensus is what settles this market at the target hour; the forecast is what the market maker priced from.
| Time | Trader | Side | Action | Shares | Avg price | Amount | After |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 60.10 | 43.1% | 25.93 | 56.1% |
| 27 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 65.05 | 56.8% | 36.94 | 57.6% |
| 28 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 109.82 | 54.6% | 60.00 | 56.0% |
| 32 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 43.60 | 52.7% | 22.99 | 53.3% |
| 35 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 118.33 | 50.7% | 60.00 | 52.2% |
| 35 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 62.57 | 48.4% | 30.31 | 49.2% |
| 36 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 40.41 | 47.2% | 19.06 | 47.7% |
Settles on a Weather Data Market determination: met → YES pays 1 sUSDT/share, not met → NO pays 1 sUSDT/share, withheld → void, every position refunded at cost. Determinations are final. Consensus rule parameters are proprietary; every run is hashed and anchored on-chain.
Trading closes one hour before the target hour. Prices come from an LMSR market maker (b = liquidity); there is no order book and no counterparty. Settlement rules →