| Side | Shares | Cost | Value | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| YES | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
| NO | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
The consensus is what settles this market at the target hour; the forecast is what the market maker priced from.
| Time | Trader | Side | Action | Shares | Avg price | Amount | After |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 79.29 | 64.8% | 51.37 | 65.7% |
| 23 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 79.85 | 63.0% | 50.27 | 63.9% |
| 24 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 73.43 | 61.1% | 44.90 | 62.0% |
| 28 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 47.97 | 59.7% | 28.64 | 60.3% |
| 35 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 95.30 | 58.0% | 55.24 | 59.1% |
| 36 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 108.17 | 55.5% | 60.00 | 56.8% |
| 42 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 99.49 | 52.9% | 52.62 | 54.1% |
Settles on a Weather Data Market determination: met → YES pays 1 sUSDT/share, not met → NO pays 1 sUSDT/share, withheld → void, every position refunded at cost. Determinations are final. Consensus rule parameters are proprietary; every run is hashed and anchored on-chain.
Trading closes one hour before the target hour. Prices come from an LMSR market maker (b = liquidity); there is no order book and no counterparty. Settlement rules →