| Side | Shares | Cost | Value | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| YES | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
| NO | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
The consensus is what settles this market at the target hour; the forecast is what the market maker priced from.
| Time | Trader | Side | Action | Shares | Avg price | Amount | After |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 137.72 | 43.6% | 60.00 | 54.7% |
| 24 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 149.72 | 40.1% | 60.00 | 58.1% |
| 27 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 99.12 | 60.5% | 60.00 | 61.7% |
| 30 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 31.78 | 59.0% | 18.74 | 59.3% |
| 36 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 104.71 | 57.3% | 60.00 | 58.6% |
| 41 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 109.77 | 54.7% | 60.00 | 56.0% |
| 44 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 115.71 | 51.9% | 60.00 | 53.3% |
Settles on a Weather Data Market determination: met → YES pays 1 sUSDT/share, not met → NO pays 1 sUSDT/share, withheld → void, every position refunded at cost. Determinations are final. Consensus rule parameters are proprietary; every run is hashed and anchored on-chain.
Trading closes one hour before the target hour. Prices come from an LMSR market maker (b = liquidity); there is no order book and no counterparty. Settlement rules →