| Side | Shares | Cost | Value | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| YES | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
| NO | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
The consensus is what settles this market at the target hour; the forecast is what the market maker priced from.
| Time | Trader | Side | Action | Shares | Avg price | Amount | After |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 73.65 | 70.8% | 52.17 | 28.4% |
| 21 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 86.77 | 69.1% | 60.00 | 29.9% |
| 25 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 89.23 | 67.2% | 60.00 | 31.8% |
| 31 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 92.00 | 65.2% | 60.00 | 33.7% |
| 33 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 95.14 | 63.1% | 60.00 | 35.8% |
| 34 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 98.72 | 60.8% | 60.00 | 38.0% |
| 40 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 102.82 | 58.4% | 60.00 | 40.4% |
| 42 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 107.57 | 55.8% | 60.00 | 42.9% |
| 42 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 113.12 | 53.0% | 60.00 | 45.6% |
Settles on a Weather Data Market determination: met → YES pays 1 sUSDT/share, not met → NO pays 1 sUSDT/share, withheld → void, every position refunded at cost. Determinations are final. Consensus rule parameters are proprietary; every run is hashed and anchored on-chain.
Trading closes one hour before the target hour. Prices come from an LMSR market maker (b = liquidity); there is no order book and no counterparty. Settlement rules →