| Side | Shares | Cost | Value | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| YES | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
| NO | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
The consensus is what settles this market at the target hour; the forecast is what the market maker priced from.
| Time | Trader | Side | Action | Shares | Avg price | Amount | After |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 49.28 | 53.2% | 26.20 | 53.8% |
| 17 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 17.41 | 52.3% | 9.11 | 52.6% |
| 22 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 48.97 | 47.3% | 23.15 | 52.1% |
| 23 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 21.44 | 53.1% | 11.38 | 53.3% |
| 27 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 15.87 | 47.0% | 7.46 | 52.8% |
| 32 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 47.12 | 52.6% | 24.79 | 53.2% |
| 35 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 80.15 | 47.0% | 37.65 | 52.0% |
| 35 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 26.11 | 45.7% | 11.92 | 54.0% |
Settles on a Weather Data Market determination: met → YES pays 1 sUSDT/share, not met → NO pays 1 sUSDT/share, withheld → void, every position refunded at cost. Determinations are final. Consensus rule parameters are proprietary; every run is hashed and anchored on-chain.
Trading closes one hour before the target hour. Prices come from an LMSR market maker (b = liquidity); there is no order book and no counterparty. Settlement rules →