| Side | Shares | Cost | Value | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| YES | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
| NO | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
The consensus is what settles this market at the target hour; the forecast is what the market maker priced from.
| Time | Trader | Side | Action | Shares | Avg price | Amount | After |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 88.44 | 67.8% | 60.00 | 31.2% |
| 25 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 86.57 | 65.9% | 57.05 | 33.1% |
| 25 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 93.98 | 63.8% | 60.00 | 35.1% |
| 27 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 97.39 | 61.6% | 60.00 | 37.2% |
| 28 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 90.46 | 59.4% | 53.70 | 39.5% |
| 28 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 105.29 | 57.0% | 60.00 | 41.7% |
| 32 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 110.45 | 54.3% | 60.00 | 44.3% |
Settles on a Weather Data Market determination: met → YES pays 1 sUSDT/share, not met → NO pays 1 sUSDT/share, withheld → void, every position refunded at cost. Determinations are final. Consensus rule parameters are proprietary; every run is hashed and anchored on-chain.
Trading closes one hour before the target hour. Prices come from an LMSR market maker (b = liquidity); there is no order book and no counterparty. Settlement rules →