| Side | Shares | Cost | Value | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| YES | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
| NO | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
The consensus is what settles this market at the target hour; the forecast is what the market maker priced from.
| Time | Trader | Side | Action | Shares | Avg price | Amount | After |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 90.24 | 66.5% | 60.00 | 67.5% |
| 18 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 93.15 | 64.4% | 60.00 | 65.5% |
| 25 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 96.44 | 62.2% | 60.00 | 63.3% |
| 26 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 100.21 | 59.9% | 60.00 | 61.1% |
| 28 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 104.54 | 57.4% | 60.00 | 58.7% |
| 29 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 109.57 | 54.8% | 60.00 | 56.1% |
| 36 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 115.47 | 52.0% | 60.00 | 53.4% |
Settles on a Weather Data Market determination: met → YES pays 1 sUSDT/share, not met → NO pays 1 sUSDT/share, withheld → void, every position refunded at cost. Determinations are final. Consensus rule parameters are proprietary; every run is hashed and anchored on-chain.
Trading closes one hour before the target hour. Prices come from an LMSR market maker (b = liquidity); there is no order book and no counterparty. Settlement rules →