| Side | Shares | Cost | Value | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| YES | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
| NO | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
The consensus is what settles this market at the target hour; the forecast is what the market maker priced from.
| Time | Trader | Side | Action | Shares | Avg price | Amount | After |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 61.21 | 53.7% | 32.84 | 45.6% |
| 25 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 122.58 | 45.6% | 55.88 | 47.1% |
| 26 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 41.94 | 55.4% | 23.24 | 44.1% |
| 28 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 108.39 | 53.5% | 58.04 | 45.1% |
| 31 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 17.93 | 52.0% | 9.32 | 47.8% |
| 35 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 75.76 | 47.3% | 35.84 | 48.3% |
Settles on a Weather Data Market determination: met → YES pays 1 sUSDT/share, not met → NO pays 1 sUSDT/share, withheld → void, every position refunded at cost. Determinations are final. Consensus rule parameters are proprietary; every run is hashed and anchored on-chain.
Trading closes one hour before the target hour. Prices come from an LMSR market maker (b = liquidity); there is no order book and no counterparty. Settlement rules →