| Side | Shares | Cost | Value | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| YES | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
| NO | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
The consensus is what settles this market at the target hour; the forecast is what the market maker priced from.
| Time | Trader | Side | Action | Shares | Avg price | Amount | After |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 41.50 | 52.1% | 21.62 | 52.6% |
| 20 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 13.12 | 48.3% | 6.33 | 51.6% |
| 24 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 56.35 | 47.4% | 26.71 | 51.9% |
| 26 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 32.25 | 46.3% | 14.93 | 53.3% |
| 31 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 103.64 | 52.8% | 54.74 | 54.1% |
| 32 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 52.05 | 50.9% | 26.48 | 51.5% |
Settles on a Weather Data Market determination: met → YES pays 1 sUSDT/share, not met → NO pays 1 sUSDT/share, withheld → void, every position refunded at cost. Determinations are final. Consensus rule parameters are proprietary; every run is hashed and anchored on-chain.
Trading closes one hour before the target hour. Prices come from an LMSR market maker (b = liquidity); there is no order book and no counterparty. Settlement rules →