| Side | Shares | Cost | Value | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| YES | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
| NO | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
The consensus is what settles this market at the target hour; the forecast is what the market maker priced from.
| Time | Trader | Side | Action | Shares | Avg price | Amount | After |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 103.32 | 58.1% | 60.00 | 40.7% |
| 20 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 108.16 | 55.5% | 60.00 | 43.2% |
| 22 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 113.81 | 52.7% | 60.00 | 45.9% |
| 29 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 120.49 | 49.8% | 60.00 | 48.7% |
| 35 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 128.51 | 46.7% | 60.00 | 51.7% |
Settles on a Weather Data Market determination: met → YES pays 1 sUSDT/share, not met → NO pays 1 sUSDT/share, withheld → void, every position refunded at cost. Determinations are final. Consensus rule parameters are proprietary; every run is hashed and anchored on-chain.
Trading closes one hour before the target hour. Prices come from an LMSR market maker (b = liquidity); there is no order book and no counterparty. Settlement rules →