| Side | Shares | Cost | Value | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| YES | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
| NO | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
The consensus is what settles this market at the target hour; the forecast is what the market maker priced from.
| Time | Trader | Side | Action | Shares | Avg price | Amount | After |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 91.75 | 65.4% | 60.00 | 66.4% |
| 20 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 94.85 | 63.3% | 60.00 | 64.4% |
| 25 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 98.38 | 61.0% | 60.00 | 62.2% |
| 27 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 102.44 | 58.6% | 60.00 | 59.8% |
| 28 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 107.13 | 56.0% | 60.00 | 57.3% |
| 38 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 30.62 | 54.3% | 16.63 | 54.7% |
Settles on a Weather Data Market determination: met → YES pays 1 sUSDT/share, not met → NO pays 1 sUSDT/share, withheld → void, every position refunded at cost. Determinations are final. Consensus rule parameters are proprietary; every run is hashed and anchored on-chain.
Trading closes one hour before the target hour. Prices come from an LMSR market maker (b = liquidity); there is no order book and no counterparty. Settlement rules →