| Side | Shares | Cost | Value | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| YES | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
| NO | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
The consensus is what settles this market at the target hour; the forecast is what the market maker priced from.
| Time | Trader | Side | Action | Shares | Avg price | Amount | After |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 22.86 | 63.3% | 14.48 | 63.6% |
| 20 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 86.70 | 62.1% | 53.80 | 63.1% |
| 22 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 51.71 | 60.4% | 31.24 | 61.0% |
| 23 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 102.48 | 58.6% | 60.00 | 59.8% |
| 30 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 103.64 | 56.0% | 58.07 | 57.3% |
| 30 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 97.92 | 53.5% | 52.42 | 54.8% |
| 34 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 118.01 | 50.8% | 60.00 | 52.3% |
| 35 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 125.52 | 47.8% | 60.00 | 49.4% |
Settles on a Weather Data Market determination: met → YES pays 1 sUSDT/share, not met → NO pays 1 sUSDT/share, withheld → void, every position refunded at cost. Determinations are final. Consensus rule parameters are proprietary; every run is hashed and anchored on-chain.
Trading closes one hour before the target hour. Prices come from an LMSR market maker (b = liquidity); there is no order book and no counterparty. Settlement rules →