| Side | Shares | Cost | Value | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| YES | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
| NO | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
The consensus is what settles this market at the target hour; the forecast is what the market maker priced from.
| Time | Trader | Side | Action | Shares | Avg price | Amount | After |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 83.39 | 72.0% | 60.00 | 27.2% |
| 22 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 85.44 | 70.2% | 60.00 | 28.9% |
| 27 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 87.75 | 68.4% | 60.00 | 30.7% |
| 28 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 90.33 | 66.4% | 60.00 | 32.6% |
| 29 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 93.25 | 64.3% | 60.00 | 34.6% |
| 31 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 96.55 | 62.1% | 60.00 | 36.7% |
| 32 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 100.34 | 59.8% | 60.00 | 39.0% |
Settles on a Weather Data Market determination: met → YES pays 1 sUSDT/share, not met → NO pays 1 sUSDT/share, withheld → void, every position refunded at cost. Determinations are final. Consensus rule parameters are proprietary; every run is hashed and anchored on-chain.
Trading closes one hour before the target hour. Prices come from an LMSR market maker (b = liquidity); there is no order book and no counterparty. Settlement rules →