| Side | Shares | Cost | Value | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| YES | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
| NO | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
The consensus is what settles this market at the target hour; the forecast is what the market maker priced from.
| Time | Trader | Side | Action | Shares | Avg price | Amount | After |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 55.54 | 58.5% | 32.47 | 40.9% |
| 19 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 54.98 | 57.1% | 31.40 | 42.2% |
| 24 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 84.48 | 55.4% | 46.80 | 43.6% |
| 36 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 113.32 | 52.9% | 60.00 | 45.6% |
Settles on a Weather Data Market determination: met → YES pays 1 sUSDT/share, not met → NO pays 1 sUSDT/share, withheld → void, every position refunded at cost. Determinations are final. Consensus rule parameters are proprietary; every run is hashed and anchored on-chain.
Trading closes one hour before the target hour. Prices come from an LMSR market maker (b = liquidity); there is no order book and no counterparty. Settlement rules →