| Side | Shares | Cost | Value | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| YES | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
| NO | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
The consensus is what settles this market at the target hour; the forecast is what the market maker priced from.
| Time | Trader | Side | Action | Shares | Avg price | Amount | After |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 100.86 | 44.9% | 45.31 | 46.2% |
| 24 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 62.07 | 55.6% | 34.48 | 43.7% |
| 27 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 96.78 | 53.6% | 51.86 | 45.2% |
| 28 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 92.19 | 51.2% | 47.23 | 47.6% |
Settles on a Weather Data Market determination: met → YES pays 1 sUSDT/share, not met → NO pays 1 sUSDT/share, withheld → void, every position refunded at cost. Determinations are final. Consensus rule parameters are proprietary; every run is hashed and anchored on-chain.
Trading closes one hour before the target hour. Prices come from an LMSR market maker (b = liquidity); there is no order book and no counterparty. Settlement rules →