| Side | Shares | Cost | Value | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| YES | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
| NO | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
The consensus is what settles this market at the target hour; the forecast is what the market maker priced from.
| Time | Trader | Side | Action | Shares | Avg price | Amount | After |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 85.35 | 70.3% | 60.00 | 28.8% |
| 22 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 87.64 | 68.5% | 60.00 | 30.6% |
| 22 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 90.21 | 66.5% | 60.00 | 32.5% |
| 26 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 93.11 | 64.4% | 60.00 | 34.5% |
| 27 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 96.40 | 62.2% | 60.00 | 36.6% |
| 29 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 100.15 | 59.9% | 60.00 | 38.9% |
| 31 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 104.48 | 57.4% | 60.00 | 41.3% |
| 37 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 109.50 | 54.8% | 60.00 | 43.9% |
Settles on a Weather Data Market determination: met → YES pays 1 sUSDT/share, not met → NO pays 1 sUSDT/share, withheld → void, every position refunded at cost. Determinations are final. Consensus rule parameters are proprietary; every run is hashed and anchored on-chain.
Trading closes one hour before the target hour. Prices come from an LMSR market maker (b = liquidity); there is no order book and no counterparty. Settlement rules →