| Side | Shares | Cost | Value | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| YES | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
| NO | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
The consensus is what settles this market at the target hour; the forecast is what the market maker priced from.
| Time | Trader | Side | Action | Shares | Avg price | Amount | After |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 89.41 | 67.1% | 60.00 | 68.1% |
| 22 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 92.20 | 65.1% | 60.00 | 66.1% |
| 26 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 95.37 | 62.9% | 60.00 | 64.0% |
| 30 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 65.20 | 61.0% | 39.79 | 61.8% |
| 31 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 65.05 | 59.5% | 38.68 | 60.2% |
| 33 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 104.52 | 57.4% | 60.00 | 58.7% |
| 36 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 49.59 | 55.5% | 27.53 | 56.1% |
Settles on a Weather Data Market determination: met → YES pays 1 sUSDT/share, not met → NO pays 1 sUSDT/share, withheld → void, every position refunded at cost. Determinations are final. Consensus rule parameters are proprietary; every run is hashed and anchored on-chain.
Trading closes one hour before the target hour. Prices come from an LMSR market maker (b = liquidity); there is no order book and no counterparty. Settlement rules →