| Side | Shares | Cost | Value | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| YES | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
| NO | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
The consensus is what settles this market at the target hour; the forecast is what the market maker priced from.
| Time | Trader | Side | Action | Shares | Avg price | Amount | After |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 58.02 | 61.9% | 35.89 | 37.5% |
| 26 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 100.04 | 60.0% | 60.00 | 38.8% |
| 31 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 38.40 | 58.3% | 22.39 | 41.2% |
| 33 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 66.64 | 57.0% | 38.00 | 42.2% |
| 34 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 92.08 | 55.1% | 50.71 | 43.8% |
Settles on a Weather Data Market determination: met → YES pays 1 sUSDT/share, not met → NO pays 1 sUSDT/share, withheld → void, every position refunded at cost. Determinations are final. Consensus rule parameters are proprietary; every run is hashed and anchored on-chain.
Trading closes one hour before the target hour. Prices come from an LMSR market maker (b = liquidity); there is no order book and no counterparty. Settlement rules →