| Side | Shares | Cost | Value | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| YES | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
| NO | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
The consensus is what settles this market at the target hour; the forecast is what the market maker priced from.
| Time | Trader | Side | Action | Shares | Avg price | Amount | After |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 73.50 | 81.6% | 60.00 | 17.8% |
| 24 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 74.54 | 80.5% | 60.00 | 18.9% |
| 27 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 24.74 | 79.7% | 19.72 | 20.1% |
| 29 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 76.07 | 78.9% | 60.00 | 20.5% |
| 34 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 39.73 | 77.9% | 30.95 | 21.8% |
| 37 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 78.06 | 76.9% | 60.00 | 22.4% |
| 39 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 79.54 | 75.4% | 60.00 | 23.8% |
| 40 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 81.17 | 73.9% | 60.00 | 25.3% |
Settles on a Weather Data Market determination: met → YES pays 1 sUSDT/share, not met → NO pays 1 sUSDT/share, withheld → void, every position refunded at cost. Determinations are final. Consensus rule parameters are proprietary; every run is hashed and anchored on-chain.
Trading closes one hour before the target hour. Prices come from an LMSR market maker (b = liquidity); there is no order book and no counterparty. Settlement rules →