| Side | Shares | Cost | Value | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| YES | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
| NO | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
The consensus is what settles this market at the target hour; the forecast is what the market maker priced from.
| Time | Trader | Side | Action | Shares | Avg price | Amount | After |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 72.68 | 54.6% | 39.71 | 44.5% |
| 22 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 114.72 | 52.3% | 60.00 | 46.3% |
| 23 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 121.58 | 49.4% | 60.00 | 49.1% |
| 24 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 32.11 | 47.4% | 15.23 | 52.2% |
| 32 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 50.62 | 46.4% | 23.49 | 53.0% |
| 34 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 20.87 | 45.5% | 9.50 | 54.2% |
Settles on a Weather Data Market determination: met → YES pays 1 sUSDT/share, not met → NO pays 1 sUSDT/share, withheld → void, every position refunded at cost. Determinations are final. Consensus rule parameters are proprietary; every run is hashed and anchored on-chain.
Trading closes one hour before the target hour. Prices come from an LMSR market maker (b = liquidity); there is no order book and no counterparty. Settlement rules →