| Side | Shares | Cost | Value | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| YES | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
| NO | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
The consensus is what settles this market at the target hour; the forecast is what the market maker priced from.
| Time | Trader | Side | Action | Shares | Avg price | Amount | After |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 9.04 | 56.2% | 5.08 | 43.7% |
| 28 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 106.52 | 42.6% | 45.36 | 43.9% |
| 29 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 50.40 | 40.7% | 20.50 | 41.3% |
| 30 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 43.28 | 59.4% | 25.71 | 40.1% |
| 31 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 70.69 | 58.0% | 41.02 | 41.1% |
| 32 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 90.49 | 56.1% | 50.72 | 42.8% |
Settles on a Weather Data Market determination: met → YES pays 1 sUSDT/share, not met → NO pays 1 sUSDT/share, withheld → void, every position refunded at cost. Determinations are final. Consensus rule parameters are proprietary; every run is hashed and anchored on-chain.
Trading closes one hour before the target hour. Prices come from an LMSR market maker (b = liquidity); there is no order book and no counterparty. Settlement rules →