| Side | Shares | Cost | Value | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| YES | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
| NO | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
The consensus is what settles this market at the target hour; the forecast is what the market maker priced from.
| Time | Trader | Side | Action | Shares | Avg price | Amount | After |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 45 min ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 93.57 | 64.1% | 60.00 | 34.8% |
| 2 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 96.92 | 61.9% | 60.00 | 37.0% |
| 3 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 100.75 | 59.6% | 60.00 | 39.2% |
| 6 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 105.17 | 57.0% | 60.00 | 41.7% |
| 12 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 110.31 | 54.4% | 60.00 | 44.2% |
| 14 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 116.35 | 51.6% | 60.00 | 47.0% |
Settles on a Weather Data Market determination: met → YES pays 1 sUSDT/share, not met → NO pays 1 sUSDT/share, withheld → void, every position refunded at cost. Determinations are final. Consensus rule parameters are proprietary; every run is hashed and anchored on-chain.
Trading closes one hour before the target hour. Prices come from an LMSR market maker (b = liquidity); there is no order book and no counterparty. Settlement rules →