| Side | Shares | Cost | Value | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| YES | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
| NO | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
The consensus is what settles this market at the target hour; the forecast is what the market maker priced from.
| Time | Trader | Side | Action | Shares | Avg price | Amount | After |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 88.85 | 67.5% | 60.00 | 68.5% |
| 4 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 91.57 | 65.5% | 60.00 | 66.6% |
| 5 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 94.65 | 63.4% | 60.00 | 64.5% |
| 8 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 98.16 | 61.1% | 60.00 | 62.3% |
| 9 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 102.18 | 58.7% | 60.00 | 60.0% |
| 12 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 106.82 | 56.2% | 60.00 | 57.5% |
| 13 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 112.24 | 53.5% | 60.00 | 54.9% |
Settles on a Weather Data Market determination: met → YES pays 1 sUSDT/share, not met → NO pays 1 sUSDT/share, withheld → void, every position refunded at cost. Determinations are final. Consensus rule parameters are proprietary; every run is hashed and anchored on-chain.
Trading closes one hour before the target hour. Prices come from an LMSR market maker (b = liquidity); there is no order book and no counterparty. Settlement rules →