| Side | Shares | Cost | Value | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| YES | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
| NO | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
The consensus is what settles this market at the target hour; the forecast is what the market maker priced from.
| Time | Trader | Side | Action | Shares | Avg price | Amount | After |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 82.95 | 60.8% | 50.40 | 61.7% |
| 7 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 45.61 | 59.2% | 27.01 | 59.8% |
| 8 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 104.54 | 57.4% | 60.00 | 58.7% |
| 12 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 27.45 | 55.8% | 15.31 | 56.1% |
Settles on a Weather Data Market determination: met → YES pays 1 sUSDT/share, not met → NO pays 1 sUSDT/share, withheld → void, every position refunded at cost. Determinations are final. Consensus rule parameters are proprietary; every run is hashed and anchored on-chain.
Trading closes one hour before the target hour. Prices come from an LMSR market maker (b = liquidity); there is no order book and no counterparty. Settlement rules →