| Side | Shares | Cost | Value | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| YES | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
| NO | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
The consensus is what settles this market at the target hour; the forecast is what the market maker priced from.
| Time | Trader | Side | Action | Shares | Avg price | Amount | After |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 62.11 | 41.6% | 25.86 | 57.6% |
| 3 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 103.71 | 57.9% | 60.00 | 59.1% |
| 5 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 29.69 | 56.2% | 16.69 | 56.6% |
| 7 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 26.38 | 55.5% | 14.65 | 55.9% |
| 7 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 105.31 | 53.9% | 56.76 | 55.2% |
| 11 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 22.85 | 47.1% | 10.77 | 52.6% |
| 12 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 27.17 | 52.8% | 14.35 | 53.2% |
| 14 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 37.60 | 47.0% | 17.69 | 52.5% |
| 15 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 115.43 | 52.0% | 60.00 | 53.4% |
| 16 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 122.43 | 49.0% | 60.00 | 50.5% |
Settles on a Weather Data Market determination: met → YES pays 1 sUSDT/share, not met → NO pays 1 sUSDT/share, withheld → void, every position refunded at cost. Determinations are final. Consensus rule parameters are proprietary; every run is hashed and anchored on-chain.
Trading closes one hour before the target hour. Prices come from an LMSR market maker (b = liquidity); there is no order book and no counterparty. Settlement rules →