| Side | Shares | Cost | Value | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| YES | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
| NO | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
The consensus is what settles this market at the target hour; the forecast is what the market maker priced from.
| Time | Trader | Side | Action | Shares | Avg price | Amount | After |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 43 min ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 35.63 | 64.5% | 22.97 | 35.1% |
| 2 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 46.31 | 63.5% | 29.42 | 35.9% |
| 4 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 76.31 | 62.1% | 47.38 | 37.0% |
| 6 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 100.01 | 60.0% | 60.00 | 38.8% |
| 8 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 96.52 | 57.6% | 55.61 | 41.2% |
| 15 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 102.04 | 55.2% | 56.30 | 43.6% |
Settles on a Weather Data Market determination: met → YES pays 1 sUSDT/share, not met → NO pays 1 sUSDT/share, withheld → void, every position refunded at cost. Determinations are final. Consensus rule parameters are proprietary; every run is hashed and anchored on-chain.
Trading closes one hour before the target hour. Prices come from an LMSR market maker (b = liquidity); there is no order book and no counterparty. Settlement rules →