| Side | Shares | Cost | Value | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| YES | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
| NO | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
The consensus is what settles this market at the target hour; the forecast is what the market maker priced from.
| Time | Trader | Side | Action | Shares | Avg price | Amount | After |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 72 min ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 18.56 | 56.4% | 10.47 | 43.4% |
| 4 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 29.04 | 55.8% | 16.21 | 43.8% |
| 7 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 24.85 | 55.2% | 13.71 | 44.5% |
| 8 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 112.23 | 53.5% | 60.00 | 45.1% |
| 9 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 129.52 | 46.3% | 60.00 | 47.9% |
| 12 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 109.20 | 53.9% | 58.89 | 44.7% |
| 18 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 117.41 | 51.1% | 60.00 | 47.4% |
Settles on a Weather Data Market determination: met → YES pays 1 sUSDT/share, not met → NO pays 1 sUSDT/share, withheld → void, every position refunded at cost. Determinations are final. Consensus rule parameters are proprietary; every run is hashed and anchored on-chain.
Trading closes one hour before the target hour. Prices come from an LMSR market maker (b = liquidity); there is no order book and no counterparty. Settlement rules →