| Side | Shares | Cost | Value | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| YES | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
| NO | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
The consensus is what settles this market at the target hour; the forecast is what the market maker priced from.
| Time | Trader | Side | Action | Shares | Avg price | Amount | After |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 71 min ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 91.35 | 65.7% | 60.00 | 33.3% |
| 4 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 94.40 | 63.6% | 60.00 | 35.4% |
| 6 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 59.70 | 61.8% | 36.87 | 37.5% |
| 7 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 57.16 | 60.4% | 34.51 | 38.9% |
| 8 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 102.66 | 58.4% | 60.00 | 40.3% |
| 9 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 107.39 | 55.9% | 60.00 | 42.8% |
| 10 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 112.90 | 53.1% | 60.00 | 45.5% |
| 17 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 119.42 | 50.2% | 60.00 | 48.3% |
Settles on a Weather Data Market determination: met → YES pays 1 sUSDT/share, not met → NO pays 1 sUSDT/share, withheld → void, every position refunded at cost. Determinations are final. Consensus rule parameters are proprietary; every run is hashed and anchored on-chain.
Trading closes one hour before the target hour. Prices come from an LMSR market maker (b = liquidity); there is no order book and no counterparty. Settlement rules →