| Side | Shares | Cost | Value | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| YES | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
| NO | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
The consensus is what settles this market at the target hour; the forecast is what the market maker priced from.
| Time | Trader | Side | Action | Shares | Avg price | Amount | After |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 35 min ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 60.22 | 46.7% | 28.14 | 47.5% |
| 2 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 135.42 | 44.3% | 60.00 | 46.0% |
| 4 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 146.84 | 40.9% | 60.00 | 42.6% |
| 7 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 161.30 | 37.2% | 60.00 | 39.1% |
| 12 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 139.56 | 33.8% | 47.11 | 35.3% |
Settles on a Weather Data Market determination: met → YES pays 1 sUSDT/share, not met → NO pays 1 sUSDT/share, withheld → void, every position refunded at cost. Determinations are final. Consensus rule parameters are proprietary; every run is hashed and anchored on-chain.
Trading closes one hour before the target hour. Prices come from an LMSR market maker (b = liquidity); there is no order book and no counterparty. Settlement rules →