| Side | Shares | Cost | Value | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| YES | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
| NO | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
The consensus is what settles this market at the target hour; the forecast is what the market maker priced from.
| Time | Trader | Side | Action | Shares | Avg price | Amount | After |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 60 min ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 87.94 | 68.2% | 60.00 | 69.2% |
| 2 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 90.54 | 66.3% | 60.00 | 67.3% |
| 3 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 93.49 | 64.2% | 60.00 | 65.3% |
| 6 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 96.83 | 62.0% | 60.00 | 63.1% |
| 7 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 100.65 | 59.6% | 60.00 | 60.8% |
| 10 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 105.05 | 57.1% | 60.00 | 58.4% |
| 12 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 110.17 | 54.5% | 60.00 | 55.8% |
| 15 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 116.18 | 51.6% | 60.00 | 53.1% |
Settles on a Weather Data Market determination: met → YES pays 1 sUSDT/share, not met → NO pays 1 sUSDT/share, withheld → void, every position refunded at cost. Determinations are final. Consensus rule parameters are proprietary; every run is hashed and anchored on-chain.
Trading closes one hour before the target hour. Prices come from an LMSR market maker (b = liquidity); there is no order book and no counterparty. Settlement rules →