| Side | Shares | Cost | Value | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| YES | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
| NO | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
The consensus is what settles this market at the target hour; the forecast is what the market maker priced from.
| Time | Trader | Side | Action | Shares | Avg price | Amount | After |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 83.09 | 72.2% | 60.00 | 27.0% |
| 3 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 85.11 | 70.5% | 60.00 | 28.6% |
| 5 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 87.38 | 68.7% | 60.00 | 30.4% |
| 9 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 89.91 | 66.7% | 60.00 | 32.3% |
| 11 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 92.78 | 64.7% | 60.00 | 34.3% |
| 12 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 96.02 | 62.5% | 60.00 | 36.4% |
| 15 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 95.77 | 60.2% | 57.67 | 38.6% |
Settles on a Weather Data Market determination: met → YES pays 1 sUSDT/share, not met → NO pays 1 sUSDT/share, withheld → void, every position refunded at cost. Determinations are final. Consensus rule parameters are proprietary; every run is hashed and anchored on-chain.
Trading closes one hour before the target hour. Prices come from an LMSR market maker (b = liquidity); there is no order book and no counterparty. Settlement rules →