| Side | Shares | Cost | Value | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| YES | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
| NO | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
The consensus is what settles this market at the target hour; the forecast is what the market maker priced from.
| Time | Trader | Side | Action | Shares | Avg price | Amount | After |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 51.30 | 46.4% | 23.80 | 47.0% |
| 4 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 70.36 | 44.9% | 31.58 | 45.8% |
| 7 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 109.83 | 54.6% | 60.00 | 44.0% |
| 7 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 33.45 | 52.9% | 17.68 | 46.7% |
| 9 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 117.73 | 51.0% | 60.00 | 47.6% |
| 12 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 47.70 | 49.9% | 23.81 | 50.5% |
Settles on a Weather Data Market determination: met → YES pays 1 sUSDT/share, not met → NO pays 1 sUSDT/share, withheld → void, every position refunded at cost. Determinations are final. Consensus rule parameters are proprietary; every run is hashed and anchored on-chain.
Trading closes one hour before the target hour. Prices come from an LMSR market maker (b = liquidity); there is no order book and no counterparty. Settlement rules →