| Side | Shares | Cost | Value | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| YES | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
| NO | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
The consensus is what settles this market at the target hour; the forecast is what the market maker priced from.
| Time | Trader | Side | Action | Shares | Avg price | Amount | After |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 71 min ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 84.69 | 46.3% | 39.18 | 52.7% |
| 3 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 52.97 | 54.1% | 28.67 | 54.8% |
| 3 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 38.88 | 53.0% | 20.60 | 53.5% |
| 4 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 46.61 | 51.9% | 24.20 | 52.5% |
| 7 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 59.33 | 50.6% | 30.02 | 51.3% |
Settles on a Weather Data Market determination: met → YES pays 1 sUSDT/share, not met → NO pays 1 sUSDT/share, withheld → void, every position refunded at cost. Determinations are final. Consensus rule parameters are proprietary; every run is hashed and anchored on-chain.
Trading closes one hour before the target hour. Prices come from an LMSR market maker (b = liquidity); there is no order book and no counterparty. Settlement rules →