| Side | Shares | Cost | Value | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| YES | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
| NO | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
The consensus is what settles this market at the target hour; the forecast is what the market maker priced from.
| Time | Trader | Side | Action | Shares | Avg price | Amount | After |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 min ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 21.87 | 57.2% | 12.50 | 57.4% |
| 58 min ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 116.70 | 41.7% | 48.64 | 56.9% |
| 2 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 66.05 | 58.9% | 38.93 | 59.7% |
| 6 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 63.81 | 57.4% | 36.60 | 58.1% |
| 10 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 75.11 | 55.7% | 41.80 | 56.6% |
| 14 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 39.74 | 54.2% | 21.55 | 54.7% |
| 16 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 95.61 | 52.5% | 50.24 | 53.7% |
Settles on a Weather Data Market determination: met → YES pays 1 sUSDT/share, not met → NO pays 1 sUSDT/share, withheld → void, every position refunded at cost. Determinations are final. Consensus rule parameters are proprietary; every run is hashed and anchored on-chain.
Trading closes one hour before the target hour. Prices come from an LMSR market maker (b = liquidity); there is no order book and no counterparty. Settlement rules →