| Side | Shares | Cost | Value | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| YES | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
| NO | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
The consensus is what settles this market at the target hour; the forecast is what the market maker priced from.
| Time | Trader | Side | Action | Shares | Avg price | Amount | After |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 50.26 | 82.6% | 41.51 | 17.0% |
| 3 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 50.56 | 81.9% | 41.39 | 17.8% |
| 6 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 21.70 | 81.3% | 17.65 | 18.5% |
| 9 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 56.52 | 80.7% | 45.62 | 18.8% |
| 13 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 10.96 | 80.2% | 8.79 | 19.7% |
Settles on a Weather Data Market determination: met → YES pays 1 sUSDT/share, not met → NO pays 1 sUSDT/share, withheld → void, every position refunded at cost. Determinations are final. Consensus rule parameters are proprietary; every run is hashed and anchored on-chain.
Trading closes one hour before the target hour. Prices come from an LMSR market maker (b = liquidity); there is no order book and no counterparty. Settlement rules →